01 - Wayne Gretzky - 894 G in 1487 GP +244
02 - Gordie Howe - 801 G in 1767 GP +151
03 - Jaromír Jágr - 765 G in 1714 GP +115
04 - Brett Hull - 741 G in 1269 GP + 91
05 - Marcel Dionne - 731 G in 1348 GP + 81
06 - Phil Esposito - 717 G in 1282 GP + 67
07 - Mike Gartner - 708 G in 1432 GP + 58
08 - Mark Messier - 694 G in 1756 GP + 44
09 - Steve Yzerman - 692 G in 1514 GP + 42
10 - Mario Lemieux - 690 G in 915 GP + 40
11 - Teemu Selänne - 684 G in 1451 GP + 34
-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille - 667 G in 1431 GP + 17 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 6 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin - 650 G in 1063 GP
15 - Dave Andreychuk - 640 G in 1639 GP
Another night, another milestone. Ovi hit his 650th goal last night against the Toronto Maple Leafs, beating goaltender Frederik Andersen like he was mired in molasses. Another one-timer, from a crisp pass from John Carlson, and just like that, the Caps were up 1-0. They would go on to win the game 3-2.
Ovi is now just six goals behind Brendan Shanahan, and 7 goals from another 50-goal season. He now sits a mere 244 goals behind Gretzky. Though his pace has slacked off from the torrid start of the season, with 22 games remaining in the season, here are the numbers:
43/60 = 0.716 * 82 = 58.766
So he could still conceivably hit 60 goals this season. Selanne doesn't look likely, but then, he didn't look likely to begin with this season. Robataille is still possible, if Ovi hits the back of the net 17 more times in the next 22 games.
17/22 = 0.773 so it's just a little bit over his current pace... and I've always said never to bet against Ovi. It's kinda like betting against the house in Las Vegas.
So. If Ovi scores 60 this year, that will put him at 667 goals, and a tie with Robataille. Poetry, huh?
The next couple of years will be tricky.
2019-20: 50 goals next year would put him at 717, tied with Esposito at #6
2020-21: 45 goals the following year would put him at 762, ahead of Brett Hull for #4, and behind Jagr for #3.
--------END CONTRACT--------
2021-22: 40 goals the year after that? 792 puts him ahead of Jagr and behind Gordie Howe.
2022-23: 35 goals the year after that? 827, ahead of Howe for #2.
2023-24: 30 goals the year after that? 857
2024-25: 25 goals? 882
2025-26: 20 goals? 902
So in 7 seasons, Ovi could surpass Gretzky, even dropping off 5 goals per year off his total. Is that math likely? I don't know; I'm neither a stats geek nor anything other than a fan.
But will Ovi re-sign with the Caps when his contract ends? There is an event coming in 2022 that will either make or break that decision.
BEIJING 2022
If the NHL withholds players from the 2022 Olympic Games, then Ovi will almost certainly go home to play for the KHL. His dream of an Olympic medal is the one thing left to fulfill. Catching Gretzky? That's a low, low second or third or fourth place to winning an Olympic gold medal. Any color medal, really.
The NHL wants a market in China. But will that be enough? Will Gary Bettman, lawyer, and lockout specialist force Ovi to choose between continuing his NHL career and playing for Russia?
If he does, it's going to really piss a lot of people off.
Friday, February 22, 2019
Wednesday, February 6, 2019
[06-FEB-2018] #OviWatch #Great8 #RussianScoringRecord
01 - Wayne Gretzky - 894 G in 1487 GP +250
02 - Gordie Howe - 801 G in 1767 GP +157
03 - Jaromír Jágr - 765 G in 1714 GP +121
04 - Brett Hull - 741 G in 1269 GP + 97
05 - Marcel Dionne - 731 G in 1348 GP + 87
06 - Phil Esposito - 717 G in 1282 GP + 73
07 - Mike Gartner - 708 G in 1432 GP + 64
08 - Mark Messier - 694 G in 1756 GP + 50
09 - Steve Yzerman - 692 G in 1514 GP + 48
10 - Mario Lemieux - 690 G in 915 GP + 46
11 - Teemu Selänne - 684 G in 1451 GP + 40 not bloody likely
-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille - 667 G in 1431 GP + 23 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 12 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin - 644 G in 1055 GP
15 - Dave Andreychuk - 640 G in 1639 GP
Last night, Ovi passed Fedorov for most points by a Russian-born player, with a secondary assist on a goal by T.J. Oshie, 3:00 into the 1st frame. The final score of the game was 3-2 Washington, as they defeated the Canucks at home.
01 - Alex Ovechkin - 1180 P in 1055 GP
02 - Sergei Fedorov - 1179 P in 1248 GP
03 - Alexander Moligny- 1032 P in 990 GP
04 - Alex Kovalev - 1029 P in 1316 GP
05 - Evgeni Malkin - 985 P in 834 GP
02 - Gordie Howe - 801 G in 1767 GP +157
03 - Jaromír Jágr - 765 G in 1714 GP +121
04 - Brett Hull - 741 G in 1269 GP + 97
05 - Marcel Dionne - 731 G in 1348 GP + 87
06 - Phil Esposito - 717 G in 1282 GP + 73
07 - Mike Gartner - 708 G in 1432 GP + 64
08 - Mark Messier - 694 G in 1756 GP + 50
09 - Steve Yzerman - 692 G in 1514 GP + 48
10 - Mario Lemieux - 690 G in 915 GP + 46
11 - Teemu Selänne - 684 G in 1451 GP + 40 not bloody likely
-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille - 667 G in 1431 GP + 23 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 12 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin - 644 G in 1055 GP
15 - Dave Andreychuk - 640 G in 1639 GP
Last night, Ovi passed Fedorov for most points by a Russian-born player, with a secondary assist on a goal by T.J. Oshie, 3:00 into the 1st frame. The final score of the game was 3-2 Washington, as they defeated the Canucks at home.
01 - Alex Ovechkin - 1180 P in 1055 GP
02 - Sergei Fedorov - 1179 P in 1248 GP
03 - Alexander Moligny- 1032 P in 990 GP
04 - Alex Kovalev - 1029 P in 1316 GP
05 - Evgeni Malkin - 985 P in 834 GP
[23-JAN-2019] #OviWatch
Loss after loss after loss... the Caps are in a slide. A bad one. A six game slide. It's ugly. The one bright spot, though? Ovi has 36 goals this season in 49 games played. But even that's slower than his torrid start. He's still on pace for 60, but only just.
In his career, Ovi has 643 goals in 1052 games played. That puts him three goals ahead of Dave Andreychuk, for sole possession of 14th.
01 - Wayne Gretzky - 894 G in 1487 GP +251
02 - Gordie Howe - 801 G in 1767 GP +158
03 - Jaromír Jágr - 765 G in 1714 GP +122
04 - Brett Hull - 741 G in 1269 GP + 98
05 - Marcel Dionne - 731 G in 1348 GP + 88
06 - Phil Esposito - 717 G in 1282 GP + 74
07 - Mike Gartner - 708 G in 1432 GP + 65
08 - Mark Messier - 694 G in 1756 GP + 51
09 - Steve Yzerman - 692 G in 1514 GP + 49
10 - Mario Lemieux - 690 G in 915 GP + 47
11 - Teemu Selänne - 684 G in 1451 GP + 41 not bloody likely
-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille - 667 G in 1431 GP + 24 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 13 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin - 643 G in 1052 GP Tied
15 - Dave Andreychuk - 640 G in 1639 GP
This means our hero needs 251 goals to catch Gretzky.
Gretzky Ovi
1979-80.....51 G in 79 GP 2005-06.....52 G in 81 GP
1980-81.....55 G in 80 GP 2006-07.....46 G in 82 GP
1981-82.....92 G in 80 GP 2007-08.....65 G in 82 GP
1982-83.....71 G in 80 GP 2008-09.....56 G in 79 GP
1983-84.....87 G in 74 GP 2009-10.....50 G in 72 GP
1984-85.....73 G in 80 GP 2010-11.....32 G in 79 GP
1985-86.....52 G in 80 GP 2011-12.....38 G in 78 GP
1986-87.....62 G in 79 GP 2012-13.....32 G in 48 GP *lockout
1987-88.....40 G in 64 GP 2013-14.....51 G in 78 GP
1988-89.....54 G in 76 GP 2014-15.....53 G in 81 GP
1989-90.....40 G in 73 GP 2015-16.....50 G in 79 GP
1990-91.....41 G in 78 GP 2016-17.....33 G in 82 GP
1991-92.....31 G in 74 GP 2017-18.....49 G in 82 GP
1992-93.....16 G in 45 GP 2018-19.....36 G in 49 GP so far
1993-94.....38 G in 81 GP --------------------------------
1994-95.....11 G in 48 GP 643 G in 1052 GP
1995-96.....15 G in 62 GP
1996-97.....25 G in 82 GP
1997-98.....23 G in 82 GP
1998-99......9 G in 70 GP
-------------------------
894 G in 1487 GP
He has 6-1/2 more seasons before he's played in the same number of seasons as Gretzky. Assuming he finishes this season with 50 goals... that will put him at 657 goals, needing 237 goals to catch Gretzky. He needs an average of 39.5 goals for the next six seasons to do that.
I'm not
In his career, Ovi has 643 goals in 1052 games played. That puts him three goals ahead of Dave Andreychuk, for sole possession of 14th.
01 - Wayne Gretzky - 894 G in 1487 GP +251
02 - Gordie Howe - 801 G in 1767 GP +158
03 - Jaromír Jágr - 765 G in 1714 GP +122
04 - Brett Hull - 741 G in 1269 GP + 98
05 - Marcel Dionne - 731 G in 1348 GP + 88
06 - Phil Esposito - 717 G in 1282 GP + 74
07 - Mike Gartner - 708 G in 1432 GP + 65
08 - Mark Messier - 694 G in 1756 GP + 51
09 - Steve Yzerman - 692 G in 1514 GP + 49
10 - Mario Lemieux - 690 G in 915 GP + 47
11 - Teemu Selänne - 684 G in 1451 GP + 41 not bloody likely
-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille - 667 G in 1431 GP + 24 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 13 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin - 643 G in 1052 GP Tied
15 - Dave Andreychuk - 640 G in 1639 GP
This means our hero needs 251 goals to catch Gretzky.
Gretzky Ovi
1979-80.....51 G in 79 GP 2005-06.....52 G in 81 GP
1980-81.....55 G in 80 GP 2006-07.....46 G in 82 GP
1981-82.....92 G in 80 GP 2007-08.....65 G in 82 GP
1982-83.....71 G in 80 GP 2008-09.....56 G in 79 GP
1983-84.....87 G in 74 GP 2009-10.....50 G in 72 GP
1984-85.....73 G in 80 GP 2010-11.....32 G in 79 GP
1985-86.....52 G in 80 GP 2011-12.....38 G in 78 GP
1986-87.....62 G in 79 GP 2012-13.....32 G in 48 GP *lockout
1987-88.....40 G in 64 GP 2013-14.....51 G in 78 GP
1988-89.....54 G in 76 GP 2014-15.....53 G in 81 GP
1989-90.....40 G in 73 GP 2015-16.....50 G in 79 GP
1990-91.....41 G in 78 GP 2016-17.....33 G in 82 GP
1991-92.....31 G in 74 GP 2017-18.....49 G in 82 GP
1992-93.....16 G in 45 GP 2018-19.....36 G in 49 GP so far
1993-94.....38 G in 81 GP --------------------------------
1994-95.....11 G in 48 GP 643 G in 1052 GP
1995-96.....15 G in 62 GP
1996-97.....25 G in 82 GP
1997-98.....23 G in 82 GP
1998-99......9 G in 70 GP
-------------------------
894 G in 1487 GP
He has 6-1/2 more seasons before he's played in the same number of seasons as Gretzky. Assuming he finishes this season with 50 goals... that will put him at 657 goals, needing 237 goals to catch Gretzky. He needs an average of 39.5 goals for the next six seasons to do that.
I'm not
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