Friday, February 22, 2019

[22-FEB-2019] #OviWatch

01 - Wayne Gretzky    - 894 G in 1487 GP +244
02 - Gordie Howe      - 801 G in 1767 GP +151
03 - Jaromír Jágr     - 765 G in 1714 GP +115
04 - Brett Hull       - 741 G in 1269 GP + 91
05 - Marcel Dionne    - 731 G in 1348 GP + 81
06 - Phil Esposito    - 717 G in 1282 GP + 67
07 - Mike Gartner     - 708 G in 1432 GP + 58
08 - Mark Messier     - 694 G in 1756 GP + 44
09 - Steve Yzerman    - 692 G in 1514 GP + 42
10 - Mario Lemieux    - 690 G in  915 GP + 40
11 - Teemu Selänne    - 684 G in 1451 GP + 34

-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille   - 667 G in 1431 GP + 17 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP +  6 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin    - 650 G in 1063 GP
15 - Dave Andreychuk  - 640 G in 1639 GP


Another night, another milestone. Ovi hit his 650th goal last night against the Toronto Maple Leafs, beating goaltender Frederik Andersen like he was mired in molasses. Another one-timer, from a crisp pass from John Carlson, and just like that, the Caps were up 1-0. They would go on to win the game 3-2. 

Ovi is now just six goals behind Brendan Shanahan, and 7 goals from another 50-goal season. He now sits a mere 244 goals behind Gretzky. Though his pace has slacked off from the torrid start of the season, with 22 games remaining in the season, here are the numbers:

43/60 = 0.716 * 82 = 58.766

So he could still conceivably hit 60 goals this season. Selanne doesn't look likely, but then, he didn't look likely to begin with this season. Robataille is still possible, if Ovi hits the back of the net 17 more times in the next 22 games.

17/22 = 0.773 so it's just a little bit over his current pace... and I've always said never to bet against Ovi. It's kinda like betting against the house in Las Vegas. 

So. If Ovi scores 60 this year, that will put him at 667 goals, and a tie with Robataille. Poetry, huh? 

The next couple of years will be tricky.

2019-20: 50 goals next year would put him at 717, tied with Esposito at #6
2020-21: 45 goals the following year would put him at 762, ahead of Brett Hull for #4, and behind Jagr for #3.
--------END CONTRACT--------
2021-22: 40 goals the year after that?  792 puts him ahead of Jagr and behind Gordie Howe.
2022-23: 35 goals the year after that? 827, ahead of Howe for #2.
2023-24: 30 goals the year after that? 857
2024-25: 25 goals? 882
2025-26: 20 goals? 902

So in 7 seasons, Ovi could surpass Gretzky, even dropping off 5 goals per year off his total. Is that math likely? I don't know; I'm neither a stats geek nor anything other than a fan. 

But will Ovi re-sign with the Caps when his contract ends? There is an event coming in 2022 that will either make or break that decision. 

BEIJING 2022

If the NHL withholds players from the 2022 Olympic Games, then Ovi will almost certainly go home to play for the KHL. His dream of an Olympic medal is the one thing left to fulfill. Catching Gretzky? That's a low, low second or third or fourth place to winning an Olympic gold medal. Any color medal, really. 

The NHL wants a market in China. But will that be enough? Will Gary Bettman, lawyer, and lockout specialist force Ovi to choose between continuing his NHL career and playing for Russia? 

If he does, it's going to really piss a lot of people off.

Wednesday, February 6, 2019

[06-FEB-2018] #OviWatch #Great8 #RussianScoringRecord

01 - Wayne Gretzky    - 894 G in 1487 GP +250
02 - Gordie Howe      - 801 G in 1767 GP +157
03 - Jaromír Jágr     - 765 G in 1714 GP +121
04 - Brett Hull       - 741 G in 1269 GP + 97
05 - Marcel Dionne    - 731 G in 1348 GP + 87
06 - Phil Esposito    - 717 G in 1282 GP + 73
07 - Mike Gartner     - 708 G in 1432 GP + 64
08 - Mark Messier     - 694 G in 1756 GP + 50
09 - Steve Yzerman    - 692 G in 1514 GP + 48
10 - Mario Lemieux    - 690 G in  915 GP + 46
11 - Teemu Selänne    - 684 G in 1451 GP + 40 not bloody likely

-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille   - 667 G in 1431 GP + 23 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 12 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin    - 644 G in 1055 GP
15 - Dave Andreychuk  - 640 G in 1639 GP 


Last night, Ovi passed Fedorov for most points by a Russian-born player, with a secondary assist on a goal by T.J. Oshie, 3:00 into the 1st frame. The final score of the game was 3-2 Washington, as they defeated the Canucks at home.

 
01 - Alex Ovechkin    - 1180 P in 1055 GP
02 - Sergei Fedorov   - 1179 P in 1248 GP
03 - Alexander Moligny- 1032 P in  990 GP
04 - Alex Kovalev     - 1029 P in 1316 GP
05 - Evgeni Malkin    -  985 P in  834 GP  

[23-JAN-2019] #OviWatch

Loss after loss after loss... the Caps are in a slide. A bad one. A six game slide. It's ugly. The one bright spot, though? Ovi has 36 goals this season in 49 games played. But even that's slower than his torrid start. He's still on pace for 60, but only just. 

In his career, Ovi has 643 goals in 1052 games played. That puts him three goals ahead of Dave Andreychuk, for sole possession of 14th. 


01 - Wayne Gretzky    - 894 G in 1487 GP +251
02 - Gordie Howe      - 801 G in 1767 GP +158
03 - Jaromír Jágr     - 765 G in 1714 GP +122
04 - Brett Hull       - 741 G in 1269 GP + 98
05 - Marcel Dionne    - 731 G in 1348 GP + 88
06 - Phil Esposito    - 717 G in 1282 GP + 74
07 - Mike Gartner     - 708 G in 1432 GP + 65
08 - Mark Messier     - 694 G in 1756 GP + 51
09 - Steve Yzerman    - 692 G in 1514 GP + 49
10 - Mario Lemieux    - 690 G in  915 GP + 47
11 - Teemu Selänne    - 684 G in 1451 GP + 41 not bloody likely

-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille   - 667 G in 1431 GP + 24 possible
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 13 probable
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Alex Ovechkin    - 643 G in 1052 GP Tied
15 - Dave Andreychuk  - 640 G in 1639 GP 


This means our hero needs 251 goals to catch Gretzky. 

Gretzky                         Ovi
1979-80.....51 G in   79 GP     2005-06.....52 G in   81 GP
1980-81.....55 G in   80 GP     2006-07.....46 G in   82 GP
1981-82.....92 G in   80 GP     2007-08.....65 G in   82 GP
1982-83.....71 G in   80 GP     2008-09.....56 G in   79 GP
1983-84.....87 G in   74 GP     2009-10.....50 G in   72 GP
1984-85.....73 G in   80 GP     2010-11.....32 G in   79 GP
1985-86.....52 G in   80 GP     2011-12.....38 G in   78 GP
1986-87.....62 G in   79 GP     2012-13.....32 G in   48 GP *lockout
1987-88.....40 G in   64 GP     2013-14.....51 G in   78 GP
1988-89.....54 G in   76 GP     2014-15.....53 G in   81 GP
1989-90.....40 G in   73 GP     2015-16.....50 G in   79 GP
1990-91.....41 G in   78 GP     2016-17.....33 G in   82 GP
1991-92.....31 G in   74 GP     2017-18.....49 G in   82 GP
1992-93.....16 G in   45 GP     2018-19.....36 G in   49 GP so far
1993-94.....38 G in   81 GP     --------------------------------
1994-95.....11 G in   48 GP                643 G in 1052 GP
1995-96.....15 G in   62 GP
1996-97.....25 G in   82 GP
1997-98.....23 G in   82 GP
1998-99......9 G in   70 GP
-------------------------
           894 G in 1487 GP

He has 6-1/2 more seasons before he's played in the same number of seasons as Gretzky. Assuming he finishes this season with 50 goals... that will put him at 657 goals, needing 237 goals to catch Gretzky. He needs an average of 39.5 goals for the next six seasons to do that.

I'm not

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

[27-NOV-2018] #OviWatch, #BackstromWatch, etc.


#OviWatch

Last night, Ovi scored an empty net goal to tie Joe Sakic and Jarome Iginla for 15th overall. Given his torrid rate of scoring - 18 goals in 24 games this season - he is on pace to score 61 goals this year, which actually puts Luc Robataille in reach, if he keeps it up. Although he is currently in 4th place for the Rocket Richard trophy, I believe that race is not yet over, and that Ovi will take the lead some time in January and never look back. The man is a goal-scoring machine! 

Next up is Dave Andreychuk, with 640 goals in 1639 games played.







01 - Wayne Gretzky    - 894 G in 1487 GP +269
02 - Gordie Howe      - 801 G in 1767 GP +176
03 - Jaromír Jágr     - 765 G in 1714 GP +140
04 - Brett Hull       - 741 G in 1269 GP +116
05 - Marcel Dionne    - 731 G in 1348 GP +106
06 - Phil Esposito    - 717 G in 1282 GP + 92
07 - Mike Gartner     - 708 G in 1432 GP + 83
08 - Mark Messier     - 694 G in 1756 GP + 69
09 - Steve Yzerman    - 692 G in 1514 GP + 67
10 - Mario Lemieux    - 690 G in  915 GP + 65
11 - Teemu Selänne    - 684 G in 1451 GP + 59 not bloody likely

-----------------------------------------------------
12 - Luc Robataille   - 667 G in 1431 GP + 42 way outside chance
-----------------------------------------------------
13 - Brendan Shanahan - 656 G in 1431 GP + 31 outside chance
-----------------------------------------------------
14 - Dave Andreychuk  - 640 G in 1639 GP + 15
15 - Alex Ovechkin    - 625 G in 1027 GP Tied
16 - Joe Sakic        - 625 G in 1378 GP Tied
17 - Jarome Iginla    - 625 G in 1554 GP Tied


#BackstromWatch

Last night, Nicklas Backstrom scored his 22nd assist of the season, in 24 games played. With 6 goals, Backstrom is better than a point-per-game player this season so far. His three assists last night put his career total at 612, good for 82nd overall. 827 points puts him in sole possession of 2nd in the franchise for points (behind only Ovechkin)! He is 147th overall in the points category.


Thursday, November 8, 2018

[08-NOV-2018] #OviWatch - Sole Possession!


Ovi's goal last night was a power play goal, moving him into sole possession of #8 all time for power play goals. One more will tie him with Mario Lemieux.

01 - Dave Andreychuk  - 274 PPG in 1639 GP 16.72% +39
02 - Brett Hull       - 265 PPG in 1269 GP 20.88% +30 not likely
------------------------------------------------------------
03 - Teemu Selanne    - 255 PPG in 1451 GP 17.57% +20 possible
------------------------------------------------------------
04 - Luc Robataille   - 247 PPG in 1431 GP 17.26% +12 probable
05 - Phil Esposito    - 246 PPG in 1282 GP 19.19% +11
06 - Brendan Shanahan - 237 PPG in 1524 GP 15.56% + 2
07 - Mario Lemieux    - 236 PPG in  915 GP 25.79% + 1
08 - Alex Ovechkin    - 235 PPG in 1017 GP 23.1%

09 - Marcel Dionne    - 234 PPG in 1348 GP 17.36%
10 - Dino Ciccarelli  - 232 PPG in 1232 GP 18.83%


With 619 career goals, he's still got a way to go to catch up with Joe Sakic (625 G in 1378 GP) and Jarome Iginla (625 G in 1554 GP).


Oh, and there's this...



Tuesday, November 6, 2018

[06-NOV-2018] #OviWatch, #BackstromWatch, #Etc.

#OviWatch


Ovi's goal last night was a power play goal, tying him with Marcel Dionne; two more will tie him with Mario Lemieux.

01 - Dave Andreychuk  - 274 PPG in 1639 GP 16.72% +40
02 - Brett Hull       - 265 PPG in 1269 GP 20.88% +31 not likely
------------------------------------------------------------
03 - Teemu Selanne    - 255 PPG in 1451 GP 17.57% +21 possible
------------------------------------------------------------
04 - Luc Robataille   - 247 PPG in 1431 GP 17.26% +13 probable
05 - Phil Esposito    - 246 PPG in 1282 GP 19.19% +12
06 - Brendan Shanahan - 237 PPG in 1524 GP 15.56% + 3
07 - Mario Lemieux    - 236 PPG in  915 GP 25.79% + 2
08 - Alex Ovechkin    - 234 PPG in 1016 GP 23.03%
09 - Marcel Dionne    - 234 PPG in 1348 GP 17.36%

10 - Dino Ciccarelli  - 232 PPG in 1232 GP 18.83%


With 618 career goals, he's still got a way to go to catch up with Joe Sakic (625 G in 1378 GP) and Jarome Iginla (625 G in 1554 GP).


#BackstromWatch


Backstrom recorded his 603rd assist, moving him into sole possession of 85th all time.


65 - Bobby Orr         - 645 A in  667 GP It could happen!
66 - Martin St. Louis  - 642 A in 1134 GP
67 - Gary Suter        - 641 A in 1145 GP
68 - Dave Taylor       - 638 A in 1111 GP
69 - Daryl Sittler     - 637 A in 1096 GP
70 - Borje Salming     - 637 A in 1148 GP

71 - Ryan Getzlaf      - 636 A in  926 GP
72 - Peter Forsberg    - 636 A in  708 GP Possible

--------------------------------------------------
73 - Neal Broten       - 634 A in 1099 GP Probable
74 - Brad Richards     - 634 A in 1126 GP
75 - Theo Fleury       - 633 A in 1084 GP
76 - Mike Gartner      - 627 A in 1432 GP
77 - Andy Bathgate     - 624 A in 1432 GP
78 - Henrik Zetterberg - 623 A in 1082 GP
79 - Sergei Zubov      - 619 A in 1068 GP
80 - Patrik Elias      - 617 A in 1240 GP
81 - Rod Gilbert       - 615 A in 1065 GP
82 - Marian Hossa      - 609 A in 1309 GP
83 - Michael Goulet    - 605 A in 1089 GP
84 - Pavel Datsyuk     - 604 A in  953 GP

85 - Nicklas Backstrom - 603 A in  828 GP


Of those ahead of him (within reach), only Getzlaf is still playing, as Zetterberg and Hossa have both retired with the close of last season. Getzlaf himself has moved up in the rankings, tying with Peter Forsberg with 636 assists. Backstrom's next assist will tie him with the great Pavel Datsyuk.


#Etc.


Other Capitals approaching milestones:


Evgeni Kuznetsov - 197 assists





Followers

About Me

My photo
Laurel, MD, United States